SME research

Business Failure Risk Index: company administrations by industry

The retained 2025–26 company administration extract put mining at 215.9 administrations per 10,000 active businesses and accommodation and food services at 181.7. The denominator includes non-company businesses, so this comparison is an index—not an individual probability of failure.

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IndustryCompany administrationsActive businesses June 2025Index per 10,000
Mining1878663215.9
Accommodation and Food Services2052112940181.7
Electricity Gas Water and Waste Services1578870177.0
Information Media and Telecommunications26025248103.0
Other Services1365134569101.4
Public Administration and Safety63778081.0
Construction340446293973.5
Manufacturing6619066372.9
Arts and Recreation Services2743931069.7
Retail Trade99315616963.6
Administrative and Support Services73812710858.1
Education and Training1394307532.3
Transport Postal and Warehousing80424928932.3
Financial and Insurance Services43013374332.2
Wholesale Trade2488209730.2
Professional Scientific and Technical Services98035326127.7
Health Care and Social Assistance45921317721.5
Rental Hiring and Real Estate Services52030812716.9
Agriculture Forestry and Fishing18017089010.5

Company administration counts differ across industries

Construction produced the largest number of companies entering external administration in 2025 to 26, but mining recorded the highest count relative to its broad population of active businesses. Accommodation and food services ranked second on that adjusted measure.

The index combines ASIC Series 1 company administration records with ABS active business counts. It expresses administrations per 10,000 active businesses, creating a comparable exposure indicator while preserving an important warning: the numerator and denominator cover different legal populations.

13,914Companies in the 2025 to 26 Series 1 records analysed.
215.9Mining administrations per 10,000 active businesses.
3,404Construction administrations, the largest raw industry total.

The industries with the highest adjusted readings

Construction ranks seventh in the full industry index despite having the largest raw administration count. An earlier selected chart omitted Public Administration and Safety; the complete table above includes every retained industry.

Mining recorded 187 company administrations against 8,663 active businesses, producing an index reading of 215.9 per 10,000. Accommodation and food services recorded 2,052 administrations and a rate of 181.7, while utilities reached 177.0.

Information media and telecommunications recorded 103.0, other services 101.4, construction 73.5 and manufacturing 72.9. Construction’s raw total was much larger because the ABS counted 462,939 active construction businesses at June 2025.

At the lower end, agriculture recorded 10.5 administrations per 10,000 active businesses, rental and real estate services 16.9, and health care and social assistance 21.5. A lower index reading does not mean businesses in those industries are safe, only that the observed company administration count was smaller relative to the selected denominator.

Why this is an index, not a probability of failure

ASIC Series 1 measures companies entering external administration. The ABS denominator includes active businesses across legal structures, including many sole traders that cannot appear as companies in the ASIC numerator. Industries with many non company businesses can therefore look artificially safer.

The dates differ as well. The numerator covers the 2025 to 26 financial year records available through 5 July 2026, while this edition holds the denominator fixed at June 2025 for comparability with the original index. ASIC also marks recent data as provisional and may revise records as appointments are lodged or corrected.

For those reasons, the index is best used to compare pressure across industries and monitor direction over time. It should not be read as saying that 2.16 per cent of mining businesses failed, nor should it predict whether an individual company will remain solvent.

Cash flow lessons behind the rankings

Industries near the top often combine volatile revenue, fixed commitments and limited room to delay payments. Accommodation operators carry rent, wages and utilities through weak trading periods. Construction businesses may fund labour and materials well before progress claims are approved.

A business in a higher pressure industry can respond without assuming failure is inevitable. Forecast covenant and tax payments alongside ordinary suppliers, stress test a revenue decline, and identify the point at which a short term facility merely postpones a structural loss.

External finance is most useful when it bridges a measurable timing gap or funds an asset that produces enough cash to service the debt. Borrowing to cover recurring losses deserves a different conversation with an accountant or restructuring adviser, especially when statutory debts are already overdue.

Early warning is more valuable than the ranking

Owners can monitor a small group of indicators before pressure becomes an insolvency event: tax arrears that rise each month, suppliers moving the business to cash on delivery, repeated limit excesses and payroll funded from new debt. No single signal proves insolvency. Several moving together deserve prompt attention. ASIC’s statistics record the formal endpoint, while management accounts can show the deterioration months earlier and preserve more options for directors, employees and creditors.

That distinction is the practical value of the index.

Methodology

The original edition describes deduplicating ASIC Series 1 records by Australian Company Number, grouping them by industry and counting effective dates in 2025–26. It divided those counts by ABS June 2025 active businesses and multiplied by 10,000. This revision reproduces the published summary table, but the saved files do not contain the underlying ASIC record extract needed to independently repeat the deduplication.

Unclassified records and industries without a reliable match were excluded from ranked charts. Series 1 is used because ASIC recommends it for historical business failure trends.

Download the industry index

Sources

Sources, citation and reuse

Data period: The source periods shown with each table. The figures describe populations or model assumptions, not a recommendation for an individual borrower.

Download the data and source notes (CSV). Original downloads used by earlier editions have been retained where available. Keep each file’s observation period with any citation.

Cite: SMBLoan, “Business Failure Risk Index: company administrations by industry”, revised 10 October 2026, /research/australian-business-failure-risk-index. For source questions or a correction, contact hello@smbloan.com.au.

Original SMBLoan charts may be reproduced with attribution and a link. Government and other third-party data remain subject to the original source’s terms; this page does not grant rights over third-party material. Please keep the observation period and methodological limits with any excerpt.

What company administrations miss

AFSA records personal insolvency separately. Its June quarter 2026 release reports people who entered personal insolvency and identifies recent business involvement. Those people cannot simply be added to ASIC’s company count: one person can be linked to several businesses and the systems measure different events.

A same-year business-related AFSA count has not been verified for this edition, so none is invented or represented as an added company failure total. The earlier March quarter+14% card has been removed from the headline comparison. The downloadable SMBLoan CSV is a summary; the original ASIC record level extract is required to reproduce ACN deduplication.

For businesses in hospitality, the hospitality finance guide shows how repayment timing interacts with wages, rent and seasonal receipts.